First Snow Predictions for All 83 Michigan Counties

After an extended period of summerlike temperatures well into October, more season-appropriate air has filtered into Michigan. The calendar says it's fall, and it's finally beginning to feel like it.

But we all know what's next, right? Month after month of gloomy skies and intermittent bouts of wintry weather — some cold shots, the occasional sleet and/or freezing rain, and (most years) a decent amount of snow.

Winter’s Around the Corner

Exactly when can we expect those first flakes to fly? Let's take a look at the long-range forecasts from AccuWeather.

AccuWeather’s Michigan Winter Forecast

The agency just released its winter forecast for 2025-26, and it calls for above-average snowfall in the Upper Peninsula as well as all counties along the shore of Lake Michigan. Temperatures this winter throughout the entire state are projected to be slightly below average.

READ MORE: Here's When the Farmer's Almanac Says to Expect the First Snow

Drilling down into extended forecasts for every Michigan county reveals when AccuWeather is currently projecting the first snowflakes of the season for each locale.

When Each Michigan County Can Expect Snow

Seven of Michigan's 83 counties could see snow before Halloween this year, including areas around Harrison, Cadillac and Paw Paw. Those are the outliers though.

AccuWeather expects most of Michigan to see its first flakes sometime in November, with several counties seeing at least some snow during the period ranging from the 4th through the 9th, and many more seeing snow for the first time this season the weekend before Thanksgiving.

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Roughly a third of Michigan counties won't get their first snow of the season until December arrives, including a couple counties that have to wait until almost Christmas.

How Accurate Are Long-Range Forecasts?

Many meteorologists will tell you it's hard enough to predict the weather more than a few days in advance, much less months ahead. But for what it's worth, here are the dates AccuWeather thinks each Michigan county will see snow for the first time this season.