The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), using current data and weighing it against past Michigan summers, has released its long-term forecast, including Michigan's warmest and seemingly fastest months, June, July, and August. Fans of humidity and heat are in for a treat this year.

Related: Michigan Counties Among Nations Most at Risk For Tornadoes In '24

While not an absolute certainty, the NOAA outlook predicts Michigan will see all the ingredients for higher-than-average temperatures and precipitation. Let's look at what factors contribute to NOAA's Michigan summer outlook.

NOAA Predicts a Hot and Humid Michigan Summer in 2024

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Michigan summers are notoriously, well, Michigan summers. They range from sunny and 75, with dry conditions to ridiculously humid days that make you want to forget the day you ever heard the term "heat index." On a highly sticky day, it's not uncommon to either hear someone utter or personally resist the urge to say, "It wouldn't be so bad without the humidity."

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With NOAA predicting an El Nino to La Nina flip in the summer, Lower Michigan is expected to see above-normal precipitation. This prediction is based partly on the six other times since 1950 that we've seen a similar switch in Pacific Ocean temperatures.

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Now, what about that heat? NOAA forecasts a 40-50% chance that we'll see above-normal temperatures throughout the state. While the northern part of the state can anticipate more of a 'dry heat,' the southern portion of Michigan will feel heat and humidity come together and hear the 'heat index' as part of their daily forecast throughout the summer.

Related: Michigan Weather: City Mauled By Over a Foot of August Hail

This kind of summer is excellent for beachgoing, gardening, and tourism in Michigan. However, it also means it will feel like walking into what feels like a hot, sticky furnace that is out to flatten hair, make you sweat, and seek the sweet relief of a pool, lake, or air-conditioned home.

2024 Michigan County By County Tornado Risk Projections

Roof Gnome, using FEMA data and analyzing nearly 950 counties throughout the United States at moderate to high risk for tornados, was able to rank 34 Michigan counties for storm risks in 2024 and projected financial impact. Here's a county-by-county look at Michigan's Tornano Vulnerability.

Gallery Credit: Scott Clow

Hail! To the Vicksburg, Michigan! August 2019 Hail Storm

A seemingly beautiful Saturday in mid-August of 2019 turned dark quickly, and the Michigan sky dumped hail upon the city of Vicksburg. It wasn't that it just hailed, it was the massive accumulation that made this Michigan severe weather system so impressive. AccuWeather was on hand to get footage directly after the weather cleared.

Gallery Credit: Scott Clow

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